La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cádiz CF v Andorra CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cádiz CF (Local)
Predicción 28.84%3.47momio equitativo
EV +3.83%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.47%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%28.81%28.88%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.153.6036.36%32.22%31.75%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Andorra CF (Visitante)
Predicción 42.84%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.604%
Ventaja -0.260%
Kelly -0.457%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.36%42.87%42.81%44.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.172.3250.00%46.07%46.19%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.895%
Ventaja -0.256%
Kelly -0.358%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.26%28.32%28.31%29.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.94%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +3.83%E +1.06%K +1.47%G +0.056% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -4.29%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.895%E -0.256%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -7.46%E -3.45%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 15:31 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 15:47 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.32%E -3.89%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.26%EV -7.13%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.75%EV -10.89%E -5.23%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.29%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.12%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| PlayUp | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-12 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.46%E -6.66%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.31%E -7.16%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-04-12 14:57 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -20.69%E -7.52%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |