L’École des cotes

Cádiz CF v Andorra CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 16:30 UTC

Score final : Cádiz CF 0–1 Andorra CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 28.84%3.47cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%28.81%28.88%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.153.6036.36%32.22%31.75%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Andorra CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.84%2.33cote équitable
EV -0.604%
Avantage -0.260%
Kelly -0.457%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.36%42.87%42.81%44.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.3250.00%46.07%46.19%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.895%
Avantage -0.256%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.26%28.32%28.31%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.253.5034.72%30.94%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV +3.83%E +1.06%K +1.47%G +0.056%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.60%EV -4.29%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 16:01
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 15:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.895%E -0.256%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 16:00
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -7.46%E -3.45%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:31
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 15:47
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.32%E -3.89%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 28.26%EV -7.13%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.75%EV -10.89%E -5.23%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 15:59
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:01
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:59
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 15:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 15:39
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.29%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.32%E -2.41%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.12%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:01
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.15%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.17%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 15:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 16:01
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 16:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.59%E -3.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 15:40
theScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -13.46%E -6.66%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-12 16:01
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 16:01
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -14.92%E -5.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -0.604%E -0.260%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:49
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -16.36%E -5.64%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 15:40
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.31%E -7.16%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.45%E -6.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-12 14:57
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -17.80%E -6.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 15:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -20.69%E -7.52%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.36%EV -7.03%E -3.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -10.81%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-04-12 15:30
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%1.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%3.1%2026-04-12 16:00