Language:English
Burgos CF v Sporting Gijón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.12%41.91%41.90%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.182.3250.00%46.11%45.87%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Gijón (Visit)
Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.301%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.11%27.19%28.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.7232.26%29.44%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%30.98%30.91%32.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.962.953.1038.02%33.84%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 41.94%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 27.18%; Draw: 30.88%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.69%E -1.16%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV +1.12%E +0.301%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -7.68%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.14%E -0.596%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.27%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -2.96%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.52%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.76%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -11.08%E -5.23%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.53%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.66%E -5.01%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:12 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -12.93%E -4.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -15.74%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -7.15%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |