L’École des cotesFrançais
Burgos CF v Sporting Gijón
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Burgos CF (Local)
Prévision 41.94%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.12%41.91%41.90%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.3250.00%46.11%45.87%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sporting Gijón (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.18%3.68cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.301%
Kelly +0.411%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%27.11%27.19%28.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.403.7232.26%29.44%29.41%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV -4.29%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%30.98%30.91%32.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.962.953.1038.02%33.84%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.69%E -1.16%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV +1.12%E +0.301%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -7.68%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.14%E -0.596%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.27%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -2.96%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.52%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.76%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -11.08%E -5.23%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.53%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.66%E -5.01%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:12 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -12.93%E -4.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -15.74%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -7.15%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |