La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Burgos CF v Sporting Gijón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burgos CF (Local)
Predicción 41.94%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.12%41.91%41.90%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.3250.00%46.11%45.87%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sporting Gijón (Visitante)
Predicción 27.18%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.411%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%27.11%27.19%28.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.403.7232.26%29.44%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.88%3.24momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%30.98%30.91%32.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.962.953.1038.02%33.84%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.69%E -1.16%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV +1.12%E +0.301%K +0.411%G +0.005% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.34%EV -7.68%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.14%E -0.596%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.27%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.64%EV -2.96%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.52%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.76%E -2.24%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.55%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -10.24%E -4.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.08%EV -11.08%E -5.23%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.22%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.53%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -15.09%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -6.89%E -3.10%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -8.15%E -3.72%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.92%E -5.68%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.95%EV -10.66%E -5.01%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -10.84%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 14:12 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -7.73%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.92%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 14:13 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -14.02%E -6.84%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -12.93%E -4.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.57%EV -16.12%E -8.06%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -15.74%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.61%EV -18.80%E -7.15%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 14:15 |