Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.97
assuming max odds 4.79
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 48.38%; CD Mirandés (Visit): 21.52%; Draw: 30.10%. For CD Mirandés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.00%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.15%EV +3.08%E +0.643%K +0.812%G +0.025% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -5.79%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.03%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.22%E +0.467%K +0.591%G +0.013% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -7.29%E -2.37%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.53%EV -8.56%E -4.53%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.01%E -5.38%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 17:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.47%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.40%EV -8.76%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.78%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 17:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 08:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 07:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.19%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.92%EV -17.75%E -10.44%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.80%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.23%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.57%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.49%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.05%EV -14.35%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.45%EV -10.30%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -16.07%E -4.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 16:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 16:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.58%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.36%EV -19.30%E -5.15%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.06%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-07 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99% | -0.0% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |