L’École des cotes

Burgos CF v CD Mirandés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Burgos CF (Local)

Prévision 48.38%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -4.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.75%48.41%48.26%50.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.881.871.9758.82%53.25%53.48%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CD Mirandés (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.52%4.65cote équitable
EV +3.08%
Avantage +0.643%
Kelly +0.812%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 4.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%21.45%21.64%23.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.284.334.7926.67%23.35%23.09%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.10%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.669%
Kelly -0.966%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.82%30.14%30.09%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.103.2537.04%32.69%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.00%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.15%EV +3.08%E +0.643%K +0.812%G +0.025%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -5.79%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 17:24
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 49.03%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.22%E +0.467%K +0.591%G +0.013%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 17:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 17:08
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 17:05
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:24
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:24
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 17:04
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -7.29%E -2.37%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:04
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:24
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:25
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:25
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:24
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 48.53%EV -8.56%E -4.53%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 17:09
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.01%E -5.38%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 17:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 17:09
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 17:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 17:24
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 17:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 17:04
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 17:08
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.47%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 11:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.40%EV -8.76%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.78%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 17:25
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:04
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 17:25
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 17:18
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:09
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 08:43
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 09:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 07:44
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.19%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 08:45
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 48.92%EV -17.75%E -10.44%K -25.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.80%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-07 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 08:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.23%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.57%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-07 17:24
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.49%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.05%EV -14.35%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.45%EV -10.30%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 17:19
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -16.07%E -4.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 17:19
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 16:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 17:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 16:58
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 08:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.58%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.36%EV -19.30%E -5.15%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.06%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-07 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99%-0.0%2026-03-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-03-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-07 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-03-07 17:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-03-07 17:25