La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Burgos CF v CD Mirandés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Burgos CF (Local)
Predicción 48.38%2.07momio equitativo
EV -4.69%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.75%48.41%48.26%50.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.881.871.9758.82%53.25%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Mirandés (Visitante)
Predicción 21.52%4.65momio equitativo
EV +3.08%
Ventaja +0.643%
Kelly +0.812%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.58%21.45%21.64%23.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.284.334.7926.67%23.35%23.09%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.10%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -0.966%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.82%30.14%30.09%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.103.2537.04%32.69%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.00%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.15%EV +3.08%E +0.643%K +0.812%G +0.025% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.84%EV -5.79%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.03%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +2.22%E +0.467%K +0.591%G +0.013% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 17:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.48%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV +1.14%E +0.243%K +0.309%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -1.01%E -0.220%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.17%E -0.669%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.33%EV -7.29%E -2.37%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -11.95%E -6.56%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.53%EV -8.56%E -4.53%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -11.20%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -10.01%E -5.38%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.49%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.07%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -3.16%E -0.703%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -4.88%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -5.31%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -6.39%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -11.46%E -6.26%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 17:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.13%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.47%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.68%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.41%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.54%E -2.01%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.20%EV -4.69%E -2.38%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.40%EV -8.76%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -2.78%E -0.860%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 17:18 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.62%E -2.29%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 08:43 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.94%EV -10.69%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.69%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 09:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 07:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -8.19%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.92%EV -17.75%E -10.44%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.28%EV -11.77%E -2.87%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.80%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -5.18%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.23%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.57%EV -13.88%E -7.80%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.92%E -3.48%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.81%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-07 17:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.49%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.05%EV -14.35%E -3.61%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.45%EV -10.30%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -16.07%E -4.12%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 16:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.71%E -4.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 16:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.97%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.23%E -4.80%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.70%E -3.23%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 08:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.58%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.36%EV -19.30%E -5.15%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.06%EV -18.73%E -6.94%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-07 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.99% | -0.0% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.42% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.54% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 17:25 |