Lingua:Italiano
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Burgos CF (Casa)
Previsione 57.07%1.75quota equa
EV -0.135%
Vantaggio -0.077%
Kelly -0.180%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.27%57.08%57.13%58.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.631.621.7565.79%61.24%61.73%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.60%5.38quota equa
EV +0.053%
Vantaggio +0.010%
Kelly +0.012%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.57%18.60%18.58%20.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.794.755.3823.53%20.89%21.05%18.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 24.34%4.11quota equa
EV -0.948%
Vantaggio -0.233%
Kelly -0.309%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.26%24.31%24.30%26.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.683.654.0730.77%27.20%27.40%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Burgos CF (Casa): 57.07%; AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta): 18.60%; Pareggio: 24.34%. Per AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.377. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.380, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.053%.
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.73%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV +0.053%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.70%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.34%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.29%E -0.634%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:32 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.78%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.66%EV -4.41%E -0.858%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -0.948%E -0.233%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 07:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -3.14%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.36%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -9.80%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.59%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -9.80%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -12.87%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -9.27%E -5.83%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.51%EV -13.26%E -8.72%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.04%EV -12.69%E -8.29%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.58%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.59%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -18.17%E -4.13%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -19.10%E -4.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -18.47%E -5.51%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -19.10%E -4.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -18.47%E -5.51%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -19.47%E -4.50%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.36%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.21%EV -20.96%E -4.93%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -20.90%E -6.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |