Langue:Français
Burgos CF v AD Ceuta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Burgos CF (Local)
Prévision 57.07%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.135%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.180%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.27%57.08%57.13%58.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.631.621.7565.79%61.24%61.73%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.60%5.38cote équitable
EV +0.053%
Avantage +0.010%
Kelly +0.012%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.57%18.60%18.58%20.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.794.755.3823.53%20.89%21.05%18.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.948%
Avantage -0.233%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.26%24.31%24.30%26.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.683.654.0730.77%27.20%27.40%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burgos CF (Local) : 57.07% ; AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur) : 18.60% ; Match nul : 24.34%. Pour AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.377. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.380, soit une espérance positive de +0.053%.
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.73%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV +0.053%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.70%EV -2.90%E -0.726%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.36%E -0.450%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.34%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -3.29%E -0.634%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.30%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:32 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.78%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.66%EV -4.41%E -0.858%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -0.948%E -0.233%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.64%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.15%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 07:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.84%E -3.54%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.92%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -3.14%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.65%E -0.663%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.01%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.87%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.36%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.59%EV -9.80%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.59%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -9.80%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -12.87%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -9.27%E -5.83%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.51%EV -13.26%E -8.72%K -25.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -10.73%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 16:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.14%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-07 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.04%EV -12.69%E -8.29%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -11.66%E -2.46%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.58%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -0.135%E -0.077%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -6.41%E -3.91%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.59%EV -8.69%E -5.43%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -12.59%E -2.68%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.64%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.30%EV -9.84%E -6.23%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -14.45%E -3.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -11.17%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -2.99%E -1.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -16.04%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -16.31%E -3.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -4.70%E -2.81%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -18.17%E -4.13%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -17.25%E -5.07%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -19.10%E -4.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -18.47%E -5.51%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -5.27%E -3.18%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -19.10%E -4.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -18.47%E -5.51%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -7.55%E -4.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -19.47%E -4.50%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.36%EV -8.12%E -5.05%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.21%EV -20.96%E -4.93%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -20.90%E -6.43%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 15:30 |