Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.24%38.18%38.23%39.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.62%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 30.85%3.24fair odd
EV +0.278%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%30.83%30.83%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.952.913.2538.02%33.94%34.36%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.96%3.23fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.04%31.00%30.94%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.962.993.1038.46%33.80%33.44%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 38.19%; SD Eibar (Visit): 30.85%; Draw: 30.96%. For SD Eibar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.278%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.84%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV +0.278%E +0.085%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -4.65%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:58
Bovada🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.76%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.51%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.37%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:13
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.16%E -3.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.46%EV -11.40%E -4.91%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -9.90%E -3.39%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 38.18%EV -10.64%E -4.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.07%E -6.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.77%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -15.98%E -7.27%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -18.85%E -7.17%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%3.1%2026-03-21 15:10