La escuela de los momios

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Predicción 38.19%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.24%38.18%38.23%39.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.62%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV +0.278%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.123%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.67%30.83%30.83%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.952.913.2538.02%33.94%34.36%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.96%3.23momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.04%31.00%30.94%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.962.993.1038.46%33.80%33.44%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.84%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV +0.278%E +0.085%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -4.65%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:09
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:58
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 38.76%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:58
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.51%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.37%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:13
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.16%E -3.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.46%EV -11.40%E -4.91%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -9.90%E -3.39%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:09
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:10
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (FR)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.18%EV -10.64%E -4.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:14
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:20
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.07%E -6.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.77%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:14
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -15.98%E -7.27%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -18.85%E -7.17%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%3.1%2026-03-21 15:10