L’École des cotes

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Prévision 38.19%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.24%38.18%38.23%39.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.62%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SD Eibar (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV +0.278%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.123%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%30.83%30.83%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.952.913.2538.02%33.94%34.36%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.96%3.23cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.04%31.00%30.94%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.962.993.1038.46%33.80%33.44%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.84%EV -4.91%E -1.97%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV +0.278%E +0.085%K +0.123%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -4.65%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -3.76%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -0.031%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 15:00
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -2.81%E -0.891%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:09
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 14:58
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 38.76%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.48%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 14:58
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.35%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -4.97%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -6.51%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.37%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -9.30%E -3.17%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 15:10
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -2.62%E -1.03%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 14:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:13
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.75%E -2.60%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:14
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.16%E -3.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.44%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:20
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.98%E -3.04%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:14
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.46%EV -11.40%E -4.91%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -9.90%E -3.39%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:09
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.53%E -1.81%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -6.44%E -2.63%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:10
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.58%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:19
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 14:10
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 14:20
Unibet (FR)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.18%EV -10.64%E -4.55%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -10.85%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 14:49
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -14.87%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-21 14:54
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -9.11%E -3.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -11.14%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:20
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -8.68%E -2.94%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:14
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.26%E -4.36%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -7.13%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:20
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.07%E -6.26%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.77%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 15:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.35%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 14:14
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -13.61%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.23%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 14:14
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.79%EV -15.98%E -7.27%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.23%EV -15.15%E -5.51%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.98%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -12.17%E -5.29%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -18.85%E -7.17%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -19.51%E -7.51%K -12.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-03-21 15:09
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.0%2026-03-21 15:10
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 37.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%3.1%2026-03-21 15:10