Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–1 SD Eibar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 45.46%2.20fair odd
EV -0.897%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.760%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.63%45.39%45.51%46.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.052.052.1852.63%48.72%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SD Eibar (Visit)

Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.373%
Kelly +0.503%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.89%26.17%26.04%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.8933.33%29.36%29.41%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.62%28.44%28.46%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.28%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 45.46%; SD Eibar (Visit): 26.08%; Draw: 28.46%. For SD Eibar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV +1.45%E +0.373%K +0.503%G +0.007%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:44
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.59%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 07:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.72%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.96%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.32%EV -9.50%E -2.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.83%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -13.20%E -4.33%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -21.76%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-08-30 14:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-30 14:40