Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Início: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–1 SD Eibar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andorra CF (Local)

Previsão 45.46%2.20odd justa
EV -0.897%
Vantagem -0.411%
Kelly -0.760%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.63%45.39%45.51%46.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.052.052.1852.63%48.72%48.78%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Previsão 26.08%3.83odd justa
EV +1.45%
Vantagem +0.373%
Kelly +0.503%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.89%26.17%26.04%28.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.413.403.8933.33%29.36%29.41%25.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.46%3.51odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -0.952%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.62%28.44%28.46%29.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.28%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andorra CF (Local): 45.46%; SD Eibar (Visitante): 26.08%; Empate: 28.46%. Para SD Eibar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.83. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.89, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV +1.45%E +0.373%K +0.503%G +0.007%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:44
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.59%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 07:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.72%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.96%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.32%EV -9.50%E -2.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.83%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -13.20%E -4.33%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -21.76%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-08-30 14:40
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-30 14:40