Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andorra CF (Local)

Previsão 42.40%2.36odd justa
EV -4.59%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -3.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.68%42.41%42.42%43.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.172.2550.00%46.29%46.08%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Previsão 28.62%3.49odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.881%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.76%28.63%28.59%30.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.133.3934.48%31.79%31.95%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.98%3.45odd justa
EV -4.37%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.29%28.96%28.99%29.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.143.103.3033.33%31.82%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Andorra CF (Local): 42.40%; SD Eibar (Visitante): 28.62%; Empate: 28.98%. Para SD Eibar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.49. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.39, com valor esperado de -2.99%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.59%E -2.04%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 17:30
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.29%E -2.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -2.99%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -4.66%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-24 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:29
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:34
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -10.71%E -3.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.58%E -3.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 19:13
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -10.71%E -3.43%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -9.58%E -3.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 19:14
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 17:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.71%E -3.05%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.71%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 20:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.71%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 20:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -7.56%E -3.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -7.99%E -3.68%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.37%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 17:29
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 17:29
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 17:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 17:39
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 17:39
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -8.83%E -4.11%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -17.01%E -5.87%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-24 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 19:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -8.71%E -2.77%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.95%E -5.22%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.16%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.73%EV -12.23%E -5.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.61%E -3.81%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.06%EV -15.19%E -7.60%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -13.06%E -4.35%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-24 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 43.42%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.29%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.29%6.1%2026-08-24 20:35
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.29%16.1%2026-08-24 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-24 17:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-24 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-24 17:54