Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andorra CF v SD Eibar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Score final : Andorra CF 0–1 SD Eibar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prévision 45.46%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.897%
Avantage -0.411%
Kelly -0.760%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.63%45.39%45.51%46.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1852.63%48.72%48.78%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SD Eibar (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.373%
Kelly +0.503%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.89%26.17%26.04%28.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.8933.33%29.36%29.41%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.46%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.952%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.62%28.44%28.46%29.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.4033.33%31.28%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Andorra CF (Local) : 45.46% ; SD Eibar (Visiteur) : 26.08% ; Match nul : 28.46%. Pour SD Eibar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.89, soit une espérance positive de +1.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV +1.45%E +0.373%K +0.503%G +0.007%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:44
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.84%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.59%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.51%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 07:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.72%EV -10.44%E -5.30%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.96%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.32%EV -9.50%E -2.99%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.23%EV -8.62%E -4.29%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.24%E -0.952%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.51%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.35%E -5.82%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 14:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.83%EV -13.63%E -7.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -13.20%E -4.33%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -0.897%E -0.411%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.93%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -16.54%E -5.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -5.90%E -2.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -19.15%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.78%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -21.76%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 14:50
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-08-30 14:40
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-08-30 14:40