Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.64
assuming max odds 5.79
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 59.81%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 17.67%; Draw: 22.52%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.16%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV +2.31%E +0.399%K +0.482%G +0.011% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.80%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 15:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.18%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.09%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -11.51%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.24%EV -12.08%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.14%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-08 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.95%E -3.61%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.72%E -4.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.66%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -24.02%E -5.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |