Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF v Real Sociedad B

Inizio: 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

Finale: Andorra CF 1–3 Real Sociedad B

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF (Casa)

Previsione 59.81%1.67quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -2.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.63%59.85%59.78%61.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.541.531.6468.97%64.74%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Real Sociedad B (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.67%5.66quota equa
EV +2.31%
Vantaggio +0.399%
Kelly +0.482%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.37%17.63%17.82%20.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.304.965.005.7923.26%20.17%20.00%17.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.52%4.44quota equa
EV -4.30%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.90%22.52%22.40%23.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.963.954.2527.40%25.23%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andorra CF (Casa): 59.81%; Real Sociedad B (Trasferta): 17.67%; Pareggio: 22.52%. Per Real Sociedad B (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.66. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.79, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.31%.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.16%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV +2.31%E +0.399%K +0.482%G +0.011%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 15:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:29
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:45
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.80%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 15:53
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 10:45
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 10:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 14:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 14:45
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 14:45
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 10:00
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 10:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.18%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.09%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -11.51%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 10:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.24%EV -12.08%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.14%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-08 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.95%E -3.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.72%E -4.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-08 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 09:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 09:45
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 09:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.66%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -24.02%E -5.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 09:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-09-09 16:41