Idioma:Español
Andorra CF v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andorra CF (Local)
Predicción 59.81%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.63%59.85%59.78%61.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.531.6468.97%64.74%65.36%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 17.67%5.66momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +0.399%
Kelly +0.482%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.37%17.63%17.82%20.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.965.005.7923.26%20.17%20.00%17.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.52%4.44momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%22.52%22.40%23.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.963.954.2527.40%25.23%25.32%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andorra CF (Local): 59.81%; Real Sociedad B (Visitante): 17.67%; Empate: 22.52%. Para Real Sociedad B (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.66. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.79, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.16%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV +2.31%E +0.399%K +0.482%G +0.011% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.46%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.05%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -4.30%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.72%EV -8.80%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 15:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -2.81%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -7.23%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -9.88%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-07 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.18%EV -13.27%E -9.15%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.37%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.29%E -4.70%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.09%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -13.42%E -2.74%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -11.51%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -1.91%E -1.16%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.24%EV -12.08%E -8.21%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.14%EV -15.18%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-08 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.71%EV -9.09%E -5.98%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -16.95%E -3.61%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.28%E -6.85%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.72%E -4.07%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -4.30%E -2.69%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.91%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -20.48%E -4.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -6.69%E -4.29%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -22.25%E -5.06%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.66%EV -9.68%E -6.41%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.90%EV -24.02%E -5.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-07 09:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |