Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v Albacete

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–1 Albacete

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%59.53%59.60%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.561.551.6369.44%64.29%64.52%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albacete (Visit)

Prediction 18.19%5.50fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.20%18.22%18.29%19.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.975.005.6122.73%20.14%20.00%17.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.401%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%22.25%22.11%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.044.004.4429.41%24.78%25.00%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 59.60%; Albacete (Visit): 18.19%; Draw: 22.21%. For Albacete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.07%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.20%EV +2.06%E +0.367%K +0.447%G +0.009%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.73%EV -1.38%E -0.311%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV +0.059%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -1.76%E -0.326%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:08
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.40%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 14:10
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.90%EV -6.31%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:49
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:09
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 14:09
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 14:09
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -9.95%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -11.77%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.91%EV -13.59%E -9.37%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.59%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 14:07
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -16.31%E -3.55%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 14:10
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.18%E -9.85%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-01 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -19.95%E -4.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:09
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.15%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%2.9%2026-05-01 14:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-05-01 14:10