La escuela de los momios

Andorra CF v Albacete

Inicio: 2026-05-01 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–1 Albacete

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Predicción 59.60%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.35%59.53%59.60%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.561.551.6369.44%64.29%64.52%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Albacete (Visitante)

Predicción 18.19%5.50momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.367%
Kelly +0.447%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.20%18.22%18.29%19.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.975.005.6122.73%20.14%20.00%17.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.21%4.50momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.401%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.55%22.25%22.11%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.044.004.4429.41%24.78%25.00%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.07%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.20%EV +2.06%E +0.367%K +0.447%G +0.009%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.73%EV -1.38%E -0.311%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 14:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV +0.059%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 14:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -1.76%E -0.326%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:08
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:08
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 14:09
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.40%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 14:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.90%EV -6.31%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 14:09
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 14:10
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 14:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -9.95%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -11.77%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 14:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.91%EV -13.59%E -9.37%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.59%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 14:07
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 14:09
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -16.31%E -3.55%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 14:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.18%E -9.85%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-01 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -19.95%E -4.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:09
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.15%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%2.9%2026-05-01 14:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-05-01 14:10