L’École des cotes

Andorra CF v Albacete

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 14:15 UTC

Score final : Andorra CF 0–1 Albacete

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Prévision 59.60%1.68cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%59.53%59.60%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.551.6369.44%64.29%64.52%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Albacete (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.19%5.50cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.447%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.20%18.22%18.29%19.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.975.005.6122.73%20.14%20.00%17.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.311%
Kelly -0.401%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.55%22.25%22.11%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.044.004.4429.41%24.78%25.00%22.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.07%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.20%EV +2.06%E +0.367%K +0.447%G +0.009%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.73%EV -1.38%E -0.311%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 14:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV +0.059%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 14:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.85%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -1.76%E -0.326%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:08
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:08
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -3.58%E -0.675%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 14:09
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -4.49%E -0.855%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.40%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 14:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.90%EV -6.31%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 13:49
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 13:49
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 14:09
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 14:10
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 14:09
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 14:09
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-01 14:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -9.04%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -9.95%E -2.01%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -7.82%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -10.86%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -11.77%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 13:50
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-01 14:10
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.49%E -3.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-01 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.91%EV -13.59%E -9.37%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.82%EV -9.41%E -6.19%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -13.59%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 14:07
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 14:09
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.49%E -3.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -15.60%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -16.31%E -3.55%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.37%E -3.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 14:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -14.18%E -9.85%K -32.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -18.13%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -24.48%E -7.20%K -10.20%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-01 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -19.95%E -4.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-01 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%1.0%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-01 14:09
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.15%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.37%2.9%2026-05-01 14:10
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.59%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-05-01 14:10