Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–2 AD Ceuta FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra CF (Local)

Prediction 70.81%1.41fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -12.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.07%70.83%70.71%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.34%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Visit)

Prediction 12.06%8.29fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.70%12.08%11.96%13.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.768.008.6015.38%12.89%12.50%11.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.13%5.84fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +0.408%
Kelly +0.490%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.06%17.09%17.33%18.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.255.205.9822.22%19.05%19.23%16.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 70.81%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 12.06%; Draw: 17.13%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.29. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.17%EV +3.70%E +0.430%K +0.487%G +0.018%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +2.44%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.1%2026-05-24 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 14:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.11%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.19%E -9.83%K -50.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 69.75%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.35%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.91%EV -22.91%E -5.09%K -6.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -13.18%E -1.83%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 14:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.80%EV -18.00%E -2.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -17.77%E -3.70%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -21.62%E -3.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.85%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.61%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%2.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.2%2026-05-24 14:10