A Escola das Odds

Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC

Início: 2026-05-24 14:15 UTC

Final: Andorra CF 0–2 AD Ceuta FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Andorra CF (Local)

Previsão 70.81%1.41odd justa
EV -4.40%
Vantagem -3.26%
Kelly -12.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.07%70.83%70.71%72.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.34%76.92%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)

Previsão 12.06%8.29odd justa
EV +3.70%
Vantagem +0.430%
Kelly +0.487%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.70%12.08%11.96%13.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.768.008.6015.38%12.89%12.50%11.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.13%5.84odd justa
EV +2.44%
Vantagem +0.408%
Kelly +0.490%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.06%17.09%17.33%18.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.255.205.9822.22%19.05%19.23%16.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.17%EV +3.70%E +0.430%K +0.487%G +0.018%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +2.44%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012%4.1%2026-05-24 14:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 14:10
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:10
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 14:00
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 14:09
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:09
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:10
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 14:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:10
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 14:10
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.11%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 14:10
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 13:59
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:10
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 14:10
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.19%E -9.83%K -50.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 69.75%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.35%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.91%EV -22.91%E -5.09%K -6.55%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-24 14:10
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -13.18%E -1.83%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 14:09
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-24 14:08
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.80%EV -18.00%E -2.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -17.77%E -3.70%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -21.62%E -3.33%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%1.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.85%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.61%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%2.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.2%2026-05-24 14:10