La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Andorra CF (Local)
Predicción 70.81%1.41momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -3.26%
Kelly -12.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.07%70.83%70.71%72.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.34%76.92%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.06%8.29momio equitativo
EV +3.70%
Ventaja +0.430%
Kelly +0.487%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.70%12.08%11.96%13.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.768.008.6015.38%12.89%12.50%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.13%5.84momio equitativo
EV +2.44%
Ventaja +0.408%
Kelly +0.490%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.06%17.09%17.33%18.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.255.205.9822.22%19.05%19.23%16.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.77%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.17%EV +3.70%E +0.430%K +0.487%G +0.018% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV +2.44%E +0.408%K +0.490%G +0.012% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.44%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -7.50%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.21%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.73%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV +2.49%E +0.293%K +0.333%G +0.008% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.06%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.34%EV -1.12%E -0.137%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -4.07%E -0.727%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -1.50%E -0.261%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -0.645%E -0.111%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.20%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.21%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -3.54%E -0.442%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.34%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.98%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.49%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.92%EV -6.55%E -0.845%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.11%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -10.07%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -9.21%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.19%E -9.83%K -50.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 69.75%EV -13.61%E -11.16%K -61.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.35%EV -9.56%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.91%EV -22.91%E -5.09%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.90%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -13.18%E -1.83%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -10.92%E -2.10%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -5.78%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -14.35%E -2.87%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -9.36%E -7.31%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-24 14:08 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -15.59%E -2.23%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.07%EV -10.78%E -8.55%K -41.45%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.80%EV -18.00%E -2.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.13%EV -17.77%E -3.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.07%E -7.93%K -37.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -21.62%E -3.33%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.64%E -2.48%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.85% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.61% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.66% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 3.2% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |