Language:English
Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andorra CF (Local)
Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.61%59.53%59.62%61.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6467.57%64.09%64.31%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AD Ceuta FC (Visit)
Prediction 17.14%5.83fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.300%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.21%17.18%17.26%19.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.165.155.9222.22%19.37%19.42%16.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV +0.065%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.20%23.29%23.13%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.3028.17%25.80%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andorra CF (Local): 59.59%; AD Ceuta FC (Visit): 17.14%; Draw: 23.27%. For AD Ceuta FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.61%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.21%EV +1.48%E +0.250%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -7.61%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +0.065%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -2.29%E -0.402%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.75%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -4.01%E -0.716%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.26%E -0.539%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.44%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.55%EV -11.81%E -7.98%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.63%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.93%EV -11.21%E -7.53%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.16%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -12.58%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.17%EV -13.20%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -16.01%E -3.27%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.05%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.79%EV -10.02%E -6.64%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -22.86%E -5.08%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -17.39%E -4.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |