Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.92
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Andorra CF (Local): 59.59%; AD Ceuta FC (Visitante): 17.14%; Empate: 23.27%. Para AD Ceuta FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.83. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.92, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.48%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.61%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.21%EV +1.48%E +0.250%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -7.61%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +0.065%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -2.29%E -0.402%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.75%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -4.01%E -0.716%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.26%E -0.539%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.44%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.55%EV -11.81%E -7.98%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.63%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 14:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.93%EV -11.21%E -7.53%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.16%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -12.58%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.17%EV -13.20%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 12:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -16.01%E -3.27%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.05%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.79%EV -10.02%E -6.64%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -22.86%E -5.08%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -17.39%E -4.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-15 14:04 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |