Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF v AD Ceuta FC

Inizio: 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC

Finale: Andorra CF 5–1 AD Ceuta FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Andorra CF (Casa)

Previsione 59.59%1.68quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.61%59.53%59.62%61.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.561.561.6467.57%64.09%64.31%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.14%5.83quota equa
EV +1.48%
Vantaggio +0.250%
Kelly +0.300%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.21%17.18%17.26%19.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.165.155.9222.22%19.37%19.42%16.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.27%4.30quota equa
EV +0.065%
Vantaggio +0.015%
Kelly +0.020%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.20%23.29%23.13%24.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.883.904.3028.17%25.80%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Andorra CF (Casa): 59.59%; AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta): 17.14%; Pareggio: 23.27%. Per AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.83. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.92, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.48%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.61%EV -4.06%E -2.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.21%EV +1.48%E +0.250%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.18%EV -7.61%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV +0.065%E +0.015%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:04
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.44%E -0.250%K -0.302%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -2.29%E -0.402%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.75%E -1.42%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -4.01%E -0.716%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 14:53
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.81%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.26%E -0.539%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.85%E -3.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 14:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -5.72%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -7.44%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -11.57%E -3.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:54
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:54
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.00%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.25%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -10.41%E -2.70%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.55%EV -11.81%E -7.98%K -24.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.63%EV -9.15%E -1.73%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.82%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-15 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -4.59%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:54
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 14:53
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -10.01%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -9.43%E -6.20%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.94%EV -8.08%E -2.05%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.93%EV -11.21%E -7.53%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -10.86%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.16%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.68%EV -12.58%E -2.47%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.17%EV -13.20%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:04
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -2.28%E -1.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:04
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.45%E -4.11%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 14:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.64%E -4.93%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:54
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -8.83%E -5.77%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -16.22%E -4.51%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.62%E -7.08%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -14.29%E -2.86%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 14:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -16.01%E -3.27%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.92%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 14:55
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:05
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -4.66%E -2.91%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -18.58%E -3.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.73%E -3.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.05%EV -8.24%E -5.35%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.02%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.24%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.93%EV -19.43%E -4.13%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -13.90%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.61%EV -7.04%E -4.52%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -21.15%E -4.60%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -15.06%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.79%EV -10.02%E -6.64%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -22.86%E -5.08%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -17.39%E -4.90%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-15 14:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.81%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-08-15 14:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.77%1.0%2026-08-15 14:45
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-15 14:50
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-15 14:45