La scuola delle quote

Almería v Cultural Leonesa

Inizio: 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Almería (Casa)

Previsione 61.20%1.63quota equa
EV -5.13%
Vantaggio -3.31%
Kelly -9.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.92%61.15%61.33%62.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.491.501.5573.53%67.12%66.67%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cultural Leonesa (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.06%5.86quota equa
EV +4.21%
Vantaggio +0.689%
Kelly +0.824%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.62%17.06%16.85%18.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.385.506.1121.28%18.59%18.18%16.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.74%4.60quota equa
EV +0.007%
Vantaggio +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.44%21.78%21.82%24.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.234.224.6029.41%23.66%23.67%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.57%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.77%EV +4.21%E +0.689%K +0.824%G +0.035%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:15
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:14
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 19:18
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 19:10
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:24
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.78%E -0.488%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:15
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 19:20
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -11.25%E -7.76%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 18:40
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 19:14
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-09 18:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-09 19:15
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 18:40
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 18:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:24
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.57%EV -16.76%E -12.33%K -46.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.80%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.63%EV -19.56%E -5.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-09 19:15
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.02%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-09 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.12%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.31%EV -13.87%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.58%EV -11.95%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-09 19:24
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 19:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-09 19:14
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -14.31%E -10.22%K -35.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.55%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.34%EV -26.08%E -7.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-09 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.24%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.01%EV -15.58%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-09 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.43%E -3.35%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-09 19:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-03-09 19:10
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-03-09 19:25