La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Almería v Cultural Leonesa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 61.20%1.63momio equitativo
EV -5.13%
Ventaja -3.31%
Kelly -9.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.92%61.15%61.33%62.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.491.501.5573.53%67.12%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)
Predicción 17.06%5.86momio equitativo
EV +4.21%
Ventaja +0.689%
Kelly +0.824%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.62%17.06%16.85%18.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.385.506.1121.28%18.59%18.18%16.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV +0.007%
Ventaja +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.44%21.78%21.82%24.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.234.224.6029.41%23.66%23.67%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.57%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.77%EV +4.21%E +0.689%K +0.824%G +0.035% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 19:18 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.78%E -0.488%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -11.25%E -7.76%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-09 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.57%EV -16.76%E -12.33%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.80%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.63%EV -19.56%E -5.29%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.02%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-09 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.12%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.31%EV -13.87%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.58%EV -11.95%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -14.31%E -10.22%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.55%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.34%EV -26.08%E -7.67%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.24%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.01%EV -15.58%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-09 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.43%E -3.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |