مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v Cultural Leonesa

البداية: 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.20%1.63السعر العادل
EV -5.13%
الأفضلية -3.31%
Kelly -9.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.92%61.15%61.33%62.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.491.501.5573.53%67.12%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cultural Leonesa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.06%5.86السعر العادل
EV +4.21%
الأفضلية +0.689%
Kelly +0.824%
النمو +0.035%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.62%17.06%16.85%18.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.705.385.506.1121.28%18.59%18.18%16.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.74%4.60السعر العادل
EV +0.007%
الأفضلية +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.44%21.78%21.82%24.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.234.224.6029.41%23.66%23.67%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.57%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.77%EV +4.21%E +0.689%K +0.824%G +0.035%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:15
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 19:14
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:14
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 19:18
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 19:10
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:24
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.78%E -0.488%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-09 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:34
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:35
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:15
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 19:20
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -11.25%E -7.76%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 18:40
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 19:14
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-09 18:49
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-09 19:15
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 18:40
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-09 18:35
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:24
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:24
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.57%EV -16.76%E -12.33%K -46.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.80%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.63%EV -19.56%E -5.29%K -7.24%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-09 19:15
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 19:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-09 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.02%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-09 19:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.12%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.31%EV -13.87%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.58%EV -11.95%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-09 19:24
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 19:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-09 19:14
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -14.31%E -10.22%K -35.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.55%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.34%EV -26.08%E -7.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-09 19:15
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.24%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.01%EV -15.58%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-09 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.43%E -3.35%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-09 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:10
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-09 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-09 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-09 19:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16%0.5%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%0.6%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-03-09 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-09 19:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%1.9%2026-03-09 19:10
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-03-09 19:25