L’École des cotesFrançais
Almería v Cultural Leonesa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 61.20%1.63cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -3.31%
Kelly -9.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.92%61.15%61.33%62.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.491.501.5573.53%67.12%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cultural Leonesa (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.06%5.86cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +0.824%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 6.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.62%17.06%16.85%18.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.705.385.506.1121.28%18.59%18.18%16.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.74%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.007%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.44%21.78%21.82%24.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.234.224.6029.41%23.66%23.67%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.57%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.77%EV +4.21%E +0.689%K +0.824%G +0.035% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -3.25%E -0.731%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV +2.33%E +0.389%K +0.467%G +0.011% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 19:18 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -1.93%E -0.336%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.78%E -0.488%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.007%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.49%E -0.802%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 19:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.77%EV -11.25%E -7.76%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-09 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -6.19%E -1.13%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -11.87%E -8.24%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-09 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -7.90%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.57%EV -16.76%E -12.33%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.80%EV -9.61%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.63%EV -19.56%E -5.29%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.92%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.46%E -1.99%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.05%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.12%EV -13.02%E -2.55%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-09 19:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.12%EV -12.48%E -8.73%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 17.31%EV -13.87%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.58%EV -11.95%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-09 19:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.87%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.11%EV -14.31%E -10.22%K -35.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.55%EV -14.72%E -2.94%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.34%EV -26.08%E -7.67%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.24%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.01%EV -15.58%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-09 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -16.43%E -3.35%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-09 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -18.13%E -3.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -15.21%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -19.84%E -4.22%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.76% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.16% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.32% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.70% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 19:25 |