Language:English
Almería v CD Eldense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 65.33%1.53fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%65.25%65.26%66.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.411.421.4775.76%70.89%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Eldense (Visit)
Prediction 14.52%6.89fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.270%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.30%14.59%14.56%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.396.507.0018.18%15.66%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.40%20.17%20.18%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.404.8125.00%22.47%22.73%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 65.33%; CD Eldense (Visit): 14.52%; Draw: 20.15%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.99%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.11%EV -1.57%E -0.232%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.89%EV -3.06%E -0.637%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.45%EV -4.48%E -0.680%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.85%EV -8.10%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.12%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -6.36%E -0.986%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -9.19%E -6.61%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 64.88%EV -13.76%E -10.43%K -43.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -19.39%E -4.85%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.70%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.52%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -9.85%E -7.13%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 19:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-17 19:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -16.53%E -2.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-17 19:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 19:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 19:25 |