Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Almería v CD Eldense

Início: 2026-08-17 19:30 UTC

Final: Almería 3–0 CD Eldense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Almería (Local)

Previsão 65.33%1.53odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -2.70%
Kelly -8.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.32%65.25%65.26%66.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.411.421.4775.76%70.89%70.42%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

CD Eldense (Visitante)

Previsão 14.52%6.89odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.232%
Kelly +0.270%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.30%14.59%14.56%16.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.396.507.0018.18%15.66%15.38%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.15%4.96odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -0.637%
Kelly -0.804%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.40%20.17%20.18%21.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.454.404.8125.00%22.47%22.73%20.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Almería (Local): 65.33%; CD Eldense (Visitante): 14.52%; Empate: 20.15%. Para CD Eldense (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.89. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.62%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.99%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.11%EV -1.57%E -0.232%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.89%EV -3.06%E -0.637%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 19:19
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.45%EV -4.48%E -0.680%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.85%EV -8.10%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:59
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 19:09
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.12%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -6.36%E -0.986%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -9.19%E -6.61%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.88%EV -13.76%E -10.43%K -43.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -19.39%E -4.85%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.70%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.52%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 19:20
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -9.85%E -7.13%K -25.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 19:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 19:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -16.53%E -2.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 19:04
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:24
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-17 19:25
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-17 19:20
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-08-17 19:25