Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Almería v CD Eldense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 19:30 UTC

Score final : Almería 3–0 CD Eldense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Almería (Local)

Prévision 65.33%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -8.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.32%65.25%65.26%66.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.411.421.4775.76%70.89%70.42%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Eldense (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.52%6.89cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.270%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.30%14.59%14.56%16.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.396.507.0018.18%15.66%15.38%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.15%4.96cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -0.804%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.40%20.17%20.18%21.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.454.404.8125.00%22.47%22.73%20.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Almería (Local) : 65.33% ; CD Eldense (Visiteur) : 14.52% ; Match nul : 20.15%. Pour CD Eldense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.89. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +1.62%E +0.232%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.99%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.78I 14.75%NM 14.11%EV -1.57%E -0.232%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.89%EV -3.06%E -0.637%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.01%E -0.297%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 19:19
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -3.97%E -2.70%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.45%EV -4.48%E -0.680%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.85%EV -8.10%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 18:59
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -6.58%E -4.60%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -4.27%E -0.900%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 19:09
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -5.64%E -0.867%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 19:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.12%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.45%EV -6.36%E -0.986%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.05%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.27%E -0.680%K -0.859%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 19:04
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.13%EV -7.89%E -5.59%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -9.19%E -6.61%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -7.30%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 19:24
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-17 19:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 64.88%EV -13.76%E -10.43%K -43.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.41%EV -19.39%E -4.85%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.70%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.52%EV -9.99%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.78%EV -8.30%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 19:20
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.29%EV -7.23%E -5.09%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.24%EV -9.85%E -7.13%K -25.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.76%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 19:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.27%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -11.44%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-17 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 19:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.24%EV -10.50%E -7.66%K -28.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -9.31%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 19:24
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.54%E -6.10%K -21.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.15%E -8.20%K -30.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -12.74%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 19:24
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -5.27%E -3.64%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -16.53%E -2.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -11.33%E -2.57%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 19:04
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -5.93%E -4.11%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -20.15%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.36%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.51%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-08-17 19:24
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-17 19:25
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-08-17 19:20
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-08-17 19:25