Language:English
Albacete v Real Sociedad B
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.16%54.63%54.55%56.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.21%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad B (Visit)
Prediction 21.64%4.62fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.806%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.95%21.59%21.70%23.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.244.254.8026.67%23.59%23.53%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.77%23.75%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.773.754.0632.26%26.54%26.67%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 54.60%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 21.64%; Draw: 23.76%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV +3.87%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.71%EV -4.00%E -0.990%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.91%E -6.01%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.29%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -3.53%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.36%E -3.05%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.59%EV -10.18%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.52%E -3.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -12.10%E -7.51%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-24 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -17.77%E -4.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.85%E -5.03%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -26.34%E -8.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |