L’École des cotes

Albacete v Real Sociedad B

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 14:15 UTC

Score final : Albacete 3–1 Real Sociedad B

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 54.60%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -5.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.16%54.63%54.55%56.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.21%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.64%4.62cote équitable
EV +3.87%
Avantage +0.806%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.95%21.59%21.70%23.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.244.254.8026.67%23.59%23.53%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.76%4.21cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -0.868%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.77%23.75%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.773.754.0632.26%26.54%26.67%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV +3.87%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.71%EV -4.00%E -0.990%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 13:50
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 13:50
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 14:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 14:00
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 14:00
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 14:09
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.91%E -6.01%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 13:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 14:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 14:00
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 13:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 13:50
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:50
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 14:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 14:00
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 13:50
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 13:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 14:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 14:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 13:59
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 14:00
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.29%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -3.53%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 14:10
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 13:40
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 13:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 14:09
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.36%E -3.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.59%EV -10.18%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 13:49
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 13:40
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 14:10
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.52%E -3.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -12.10%E -7.51%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-24 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -17.77%E -4.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.85%E -5.03%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -26.34%E -8.50%K -12.54%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-24 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-05-24 14:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-05-24 14:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-05-24 14:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-05-24 14:10