La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Albacete v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Albacete (Local)
Predicción 54.60%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -5.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.16%54.63%54.55%56.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.21%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 21.64%4.62momio equitativo
EV +3.87%
Ventaja +0.806%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.95%21.59%21.70%23.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.244.254.8026.67%23.59%23.53%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.76%4.21momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%23.77%23.75%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.773.754.0632.26%26.54%26.67%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV +3.87%E +0.806%K +1.02%G +0.039% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.71%EV -4.00%E -0.990%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -6.38%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.83%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.91%E -6.01%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.90%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.87%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.99%EV -6.64%E -3.88%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 13:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.94%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.46%E -4.02%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -10.89%E -2.90%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.87%EV -7.73%E -4.57%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.29%EV -9.98%E -2.40%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 22.84%EV -3.53%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.20%EV -10.19%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.33%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.71%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.17%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.28%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.52%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.36%E -3.05%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.59%EV -10.18%E -2.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.28%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -16.83%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.96%EV -11.01%E -6.75%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -14.52%E -3.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.08%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.94%EV -12.10%E -7.51%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.79%EV -13.27%E -3.63%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-24 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -10.46%E -6.38%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -17.77%E -4.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.16%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -18.85%E -5.03%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -26.34%E -8.50%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |