默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Albacete v Las Palmas

开赛时间: 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Albacete (主队)

预测 33.06%3.03公平赔率
EV +1.81%
优势 +0.589%
Kelly +0.872%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 3.08

博彩公司预测分布
30.87%33.01%33.09%35.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.752.753.0839.22%36.39%36.36%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Las Palmas (客队)

预测 36.82%2.72公平赔率
EV -2.42%
优势 -0.912%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.06%36.83%36.84%38.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.512.512.6544.44%39.81%39.84%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.12%3.32公平赔率
EV -3.62%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.11%30.16%30.07%31.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.633.033.053.2038.02%33.01%32.79%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Albacete (主队):33.06%;Las Palmas (客队):36.82%;平局:30.12%。 对于“Albacete (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.08,对应+1.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.87%EV +1.81%E +0.589%K +0.872%G +0.016%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -9.41%E -3.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -2.15%E -0.728%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:25
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:05
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:25
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -6.83%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.12%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:05
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.59%EV -7.57%E -3.02%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:15
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:25
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:25
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:10
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 12:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 11:10
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 12:05
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 11:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -11.41%E -4.26%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.83%EV -10.89%E -4.50%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.24%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-16 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -13.56%E -4.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:08
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.89%EV -17.15%E -7.62%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -20.79%E -7.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.30%E -6.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.68%E -6.92%K -10.99%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-16 19:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-03-16 19:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%4.0%2026-03-16 18:10