La escuela de los momios

Albacete v Las Palmas

Inicio: 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Albacete (Local)

Predicción 33.06%3.03momio equitativo
EV +1.81%
Ventaja +0.589%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.87%33.01%33.09%35.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.753.0839.22%36.39%36.36%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Las Palmas (Visitante)

Predicción 36.82%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.912%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.06%36.83%36.84%38.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.512.512.6544.44%39.81%39.84%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.11%30.16%30.07%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.033.053.2038.02%33.01%32.79%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.87%EV +1.81%E +0.589%K +0.872%G +0.016%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -9.41%E -3.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:25
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -2.15%E -0.728%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:25
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:05
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 19:24
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:20
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 15:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 16:40
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:25
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -6.83%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 13:29
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.12%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:15
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:10
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:05
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.59%EV -7.57%E -3.02%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:15
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:25
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:25
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:10
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:10
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 12:04
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 11:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 12:05
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 11:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 12:05
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -11.41%E -4.26%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.83%EV -10.89%E -4.50%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.24%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-16 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 19:25
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -13.56%E -4.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:08
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.89%EV -17.15%E -7.62%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -20.79%E -7.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 18:50
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 18:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.30%E -6.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.68%E -6.92%K -10.99%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-16 19:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-03-16 19:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%4.0%2026-03-16 18:10