L’École des cotes

Albacete v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 33.06%3.03cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.589%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.87%33.01%33.09%35.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.752.753.0839.22%36.39%36.36%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.82%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.06%36.83%36.84%38.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.512.512.6544.44%39.81%39.84%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.12%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.11%30.16%30.07%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.033.053.2038.02%33.01%32.79%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.87%EV +1.81%E +0.589%K +0.872%G +0.016%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -9.41%E -3.83%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%EV -6.03%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-16 19:25
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -0.832%E -0.277%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -7.23%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 12:35
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -2.15%E -0.728%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.82%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -4.22%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:25
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 19:05
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.10%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 19:24
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.48%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.70%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-16 19:20
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 15:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.62%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 16:40
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-16 19:25
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -6.83%E -2.70%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 13:29
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.12%E -2.16%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:15
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 19:10
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:05
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.59%EV -7.57%E -3.02%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:15
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:25
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:25
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -8.10%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -7.20%E -2.86%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 18:55
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:10
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:10
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 12:04
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -13.26%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-16 19:25
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 11:10
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -2.42%E -0.912%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.12%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 18:50
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.94%E -3.18%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 12:05
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.36%E -5.19%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 11:50
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -12.73%E -5.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-16 12:05
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.26%EV -11.41%E -4.26%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.83%EV -10.89%E -4.50%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -10.24%E -3.44%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-16 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.78%E -3.99%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -11.15%E -3.78%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 19:25
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -13.46%E -5.73%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -13.56%E -4.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-16 19:08
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.89%EV -17.15%E -7.62%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.56%EV -20.79%E -7.90%K -12.75%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-16 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.63%E -2.14%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-16 18:50
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.26%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -14.05%E -5.41%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.62%E -4.84%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -9.64%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 18:55
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -6.10%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-16 18:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -15.71%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.30%E -6.65%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.68%E -6.92%K -10.99%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-16 19:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-03-16 19:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.76%4.0%2026-03-16 18:10