Language:English
Albacete v Cultural Leonesa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.92%40.78%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.222.212.3548.31%44.97%45.15%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cultural Leonesa (Visit)
Prediction 30.73%3.25fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.421%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.37%30.72%30.66%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.003.003.2138.02%33.31%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -0.415%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.36%28.56%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.223.203.5037.04%31.09%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 40.82%; Cultural Leonesa (Visit): 30.73%; Draw: 28.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -0.415%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -1.35%E -0.421%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.415%E -0.119%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.26%E -0.959%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 14:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -5.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.37%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.55%EV -23.18%E -8.58%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-09 14:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.06%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -17.49%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -11.84%E -5.48%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.22%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -12.65%E -5.91%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.29%E -6.80%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.18%E -7.29%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.60%EV -15.51%E -7.49%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |