La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Albacete v Cultural Leonesa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Albacete (Local)
Predicción 40.82%2.45momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.08%40.92%40.78%42.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.222.212.3548.31%44.97%45.15%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)
Predicción 30.73%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.421%
Kelly -0.612%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.37%30.72%30.66%32.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.003.003.2138.02%33.31%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.45%3.51momio equitativo
EV -0.415%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%28.36%28.56%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.223.203.5037.04%31.09%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -1.35%E -0.421%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.415%E -0.119%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.26%E -0.959%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 14:08 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:39 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -5.06%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.37%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.55%EV -23.18%E -8.58%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-09 14:08 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Casumo | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| betPARX | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.06%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -17.49%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -11.84%E -5.48%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.22%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -12.65%E -5.91%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.29%E -6.80%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.18%E -7.29%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.60%EV -15.51%E -7.49%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:09 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-09 13:50 |