A Escola das Odds

Albacete v Cultural Leonesa

Início: 2026-05-09 14:15 UTC

Final: Albacete 2–1 Cultural Leonesa

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Albacete (Local)

Previsão 40.82%2.45odd justa
EV -4.08%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.08%40.92%40.78%42.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.072.222.212.3548.31%44.97%45.15%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cultural Leonesa (Visitante)

Previsão 30.73%3.25odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.421%
Kelly -0.612%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.37%30.72%30.66%32.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.003.003.2138.02%33.31%33.33%31.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.45%3.51odd justa
EV -0.415%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.14%28.36%28.56%31.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.223.203.5037.04%31.09%31.25%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.13%EV -1.35%E -0.421%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.11%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 14:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:09
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.31%E -2.29%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:05
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:54
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.58%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -7.81%E -2.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 14:09
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:49
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:10
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:09
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 14:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:10
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.36%EV -6.94%E -3.04%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.88%EV -8.42%E -2.83%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:10
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.415%E -0.119%K -0.166%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -3.26%E -0.959%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:48
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 14:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.49%E -3.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 14:08
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 14:10
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -1.66%E -0.519%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:49
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.68%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:49
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 07:24
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 14:10
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.34%E -3.17%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 11:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:39
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.80%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 11:40
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.21%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 14:04
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 39.08%EV -11.02%E -5.06%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.37%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.55%EV -23.18%E -8.58%K -13.63%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 14:08
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:50
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:50
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:49
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:54
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.06%EV -11.43%E -5.27%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -10.88%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -17.49%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -11.84%E -5.48%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.95%E -4.98%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 14:10
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.25%E -5.70%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.42%E -4.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.22%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-09 14:10
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -12.65%E -5.91%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -4.73%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:50
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.42%EV -13.47%E -6.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -6.27%E -2.06%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -14.29%E -6.80%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -19.18%E -7.29%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -18.06%E -6.27%K -9.60%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-09 13:50
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.60%EV -15.51%E -7.49%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.81%E -2.60%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-09 14:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-09 14:10
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-09 14:09
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-09 13:50