Language:English
Albacete v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Albacete (Local)
Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.91%36.50%36.55%37.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.7243.48%40.00%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.24%35.46%35.42%37.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.37%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.96%28.04%28.03%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.263.253.4434.48%30.67%30.77%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Albacete (Local): 36.51%; Almería (Visit): 35.46%; Draw: 28.03%. For Albacete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -0.683%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.91%EV -0.683%E -0.251%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.09%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.01%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.99%EV -10.18%E -4.14%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -11.27%E -4.64%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -13.10%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -9.48%E -2.93%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.12%E -5.36%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -5.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 37.90%EV -15.65%E -6.78%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.74%EV -10.64%E -4.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.72%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -18.73%E -6.46%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |