L’École des cotes

Albacete v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Albacete (Local)

Prévision 36.51%2.74cote équitable
EV -0.683%
Avantage -0.251%
Kelly -0.397%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.91%36.50%36.55%37.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.7243.48%40.00%40.00%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.46%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.24%35.46%35.42%37.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.37%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.96%28.04%28.03%29.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.263.253.4434.48%30.67%30.77%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.91%EV -0.683%E -0.251%K -0.397%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.09%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.01%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 19:20
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 18:44
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 18:39
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:44
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 18:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:44
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:09
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 19:14
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:40
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:13
BetAnything2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:14
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:39
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 18:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:49
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:49
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:24
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 19:14
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 19:14
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 36.99%EV -10.18%E -4.14%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 18:44
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:50
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:49
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:49
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-27 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-27 18:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -11.27%E -4.64%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 18:49
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 18:49
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -13.10%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -9.48%E -2.93%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 19:04
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.12%E -5.36%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-27 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -5.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-27 19:18
Unibet (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 37.90%EV -15.65%E -6.78%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.74%EV -10.64%E -4.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-27 19:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.72%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-27 19:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -18.73%E -6.46%K -9.86%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-27 19:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47%0.4%2026-02-27 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-02-27 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-02-27 19:24
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%0.4%2026-02-27 19:25
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-02-27 19:24