La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Albacete v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Albacete (Local)
Predicción 36.51%2.74momio equitativo
EV -0.683%
Ventaja -0.251%
Kelly -0.397%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.91%36.50%36.55%37.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7243.48%40.00%40.00%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.903%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.24%35.46%35.42%37.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7541.67%38.37%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.03%3.57momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.96%28.04%28.03%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.263.253.4434.48%30.67%30.77%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.91%EV -0.683%E -0.251%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.09%EV -9.22%E -3.60%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.01%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.33%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.21%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -6.95%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.24%E -1.22%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 18:45 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.06%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -6.89%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:13 |
| BetAnything | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.62%E -3.01%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.99%E -3.17%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -2.48%E -0.903%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.99%EV -10.18%E -4.14%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-27 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -11.27%E -4.64%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -6.03%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.37%E -5.15%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -13.10%E -5.50%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -9.58%E -3.76%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.60%EV -9.48%E -2.93%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.12%E -5.36%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -8.92%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.19%E -6.04%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -5.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 37.90%EV -15.65%E -6.78%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.74%EV -10.64%E -4.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.36%EV -10.32%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.72%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -16.02%E -6.96%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -18.73%E -6.46%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.18% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.36% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.44% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.11% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 0.4% | 2026-02-27 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |