La scuola delle quote

Villarreal v Real Sociedad

Inizio: 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Villarreal (Casa)

Previsione 48.86%2.05quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.98%48.75%48.94%50.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.931.942.0054.64%51.82%51.41%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.11%3.98quota equa
EV -0.804%
Vantaggio -0.204%
Kelly -0.273%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.45%25.23%25.08%26.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.753.753.9529.41%26.70%26.67%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.03%3.84quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.97%26.02%25.98%27.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.613.653.8032.26%27.67%27.40%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 15:10
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.69%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -2.56%E -0.660%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 19:50
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.73%EV -1.31%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.19%EV -3.43%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 19:40
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.95%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 19:50
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.08%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.17%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 14:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.17%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 19:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.84%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.08%E -0.285%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 15:14
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.57%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.78%EV -2.91%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 19:53
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:40
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 19:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:55
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:04
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:04
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:05
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 16:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:44
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 16:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:04
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:49
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:34
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.59%E -5.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -19.31%E -6.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-20 17:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.0%2026-03-20 19:55