مدرسة الاحتمالات

Villarreal v Real Sociedad

البداية: 2026-03-20 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Villarreal (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.86%2.05السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -1.14%
Kelly -2.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.98%48.75%48.94%50.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.931.942.0054.64%51.82%51.41%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.11%3.98السعر العادل
EV -0.804%
الأفضلية -0.204%
Kelly -0.273%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.45%25.23%25.08%26.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.753.753.9529.41%26.70%26.67%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.03%3.84السعر العادل
EV -1.08%
الأفضلية -0.285%
Kelly -0.387%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.97%26.02%25.98%27.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.613.653.8032.26%27.67%27.40%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.29%E -1.14%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 15:10
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.69%EV -2.78%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -2.56%E -0.660%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 19:50
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.08%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.73%EV -1.31%E -0.332%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.19%EV -3.43%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 19:40
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.95%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.85%E -3.06%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:00
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.51%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 19:50
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.08%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.17%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 14:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.24%E -2.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -3.17%E -0.851%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.66%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 19:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.84%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 19:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.08%E -0.285%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:35
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 19:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 18:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 19:20
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 15:14
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:29
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.73%E -2.43%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -0.804%E -0.204%K -0.273%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.76%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.57%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.66%EV -2.06%E -0.528%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.78%EV -2.91%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 19:53
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 48.79%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:40
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -5.22%E -2.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 19:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -5.71%E -2.96%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.39%E -0.636%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:55
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:05
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:04
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:04
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.32%E -0.861%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 19:05
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -6.20%E -3.23%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 16:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 19:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:44
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.17%E -3.77%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 16:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.62%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -7.66%E -4.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -8.34%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 19:04
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 19:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.15%E -4.33%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.29%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.69%E -0.996%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 19:49
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -10.19%E -2.95%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:50
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.64%E -4.62%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.11%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.89%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:34
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.62%E -5.20%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.83%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.59%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.59%E -5.79%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.62%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -19.31%E -6.23%K -9.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-20 17:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-03-20 19:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-20 19:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.0%2026-03-20 19:55