L’École des cotes

Villarreal v Levante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Score final : Villarreal 5–1 Levante

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villarreal (Local)

Prévision 53.70%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.15%53.77%53.68%56.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.751.8260.24%57.21%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Levante (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.11%4.33cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.636%
Kelly +0.821%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.67%23.02%23.07%24.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.104.4527.78%24.31%24.39%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.389%
Kelly -0.509%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.19%23.21%23.25%25.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.054.104.2429.41%24.68%24.39%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.83%E +0.636%K +0.821%G +0.023%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.38%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.11%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV +2.83%E +0.636%K +0.821%G +0.023%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.42%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.68%E +0.381%K +0.493%G +0.008%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.15%EV +0.752%E +0.173%K +0.224%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 11:45
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.57%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.15%EV +0.752%E +0.173%K +0.224%G +0.002%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.27%EV -3.74%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 11:40
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.81%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%EV +0.521%E +0.120%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.88%EV -1.65%E -0.389%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-02 11:53
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 11:55
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:21
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -10.86%E -6.54%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -0.634%E -0.147%K -0.192%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 11:50
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.79%E -0.421%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 11:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.72%E -5.13%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -1.79%E -0.421%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.00%EV -2.48%E -0.588%K -0.771%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.95%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 11:11
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -9.79%E -5.83%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -2.95%E -0.701%K -0.920%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.10%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:45
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.65%EV -2.27%E -1.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -4.10%E -0.988%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 11:54
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 11:50
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 53.22%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.26%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.65%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.32%EV -6.41%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 11:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.58%E -0.614%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:55
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.54%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:54
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -8.18%E -4.78%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.79%E -5.83%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.57%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.38%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 11:45
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.20%EV -8.72%E -5.13%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -8.72%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:45
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:50
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.57%E -3.78%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.90%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.88%E -2.53%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 11:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -4.96%E -2.80%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.03%E -2.87%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.70%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 11:55
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.22%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 11:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.19%E -3.21%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -7.11%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.34%E -3.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.86%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.33%E -6.18%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -16.81%E -4.67%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -21.13%E -6.22%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-02 11:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 54.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%0.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-05-02 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-05-02 11:55
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%0.9%2026-05-02 11:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-05-02 11:55